Jet Tracking Thread/Guru's Soccer Plays

[AFLGuru]

Greetings to all. This is the "fading Jet" thread to show what improper money management can do to all. These are also I suppose my "official" picks, though I have already said that the amount of money I am posting as having wagered on these soccer matches is inflated, but used in proportion to what Jet Riggs claims to wager.

This theory began on June 19th and the records will state as such. What I choose to do is take the amount of units that Jet Riggs wagers and use that as the "return" base. Then I take the opposite side(s) of his picks and divide the return amount by the odds posted. I also only play on those events I can find wagering lines on offered by Pinnacle Sports (because I'm too lazy to shop around for the miniscule amounts of money I'm wagering).

Coming into today, the nets are as follows (and keep in mind I could care less about win/loss record, as Jet plays mostly teams of -250 or worse and then plays parlays that I choose to not count as a win or loss.

Guru (-$153.06)
Jet (+$831)

As shown in a previous thread that I have been requested to stay away from, the plays for today are/were as follows.

Jet's Plays
AA GENT -1/2 (-273) over BOHEMIANS DUBLIN ($2,730/$1,000)

KANSAS CITY -1/2 (-200) OVER CHIVAS USA ($1,000/$500)

SPARTAK MOSCOW -1/2 (-235) over SHINNIK($1,175/$500)

CSKA MOSCOW -1/2 (-165) over FK ROSTOV

INTERNACIONAL +1/2 (-115) over SAO PAULO ($345/$300)

NY METROSTARS +1/2 (-130) over NEW ENGLAND ($390/$300)

AA GENT
SPARTAK MOSCOW
KANSAS CITY (parlay of three games above)


RISK: $500.00 WIN: $961.00

Guru's Plays
New England (ml) vs. NY/NJ ($142.86/$157.14)
Chivas USA (+1) @ Kansas City ($221.24/$278.76)

Missed the early plays because I had to be at work early this morning (early by my standards anyway). I'll be sure to be up for tomorrow's action. Full results to come later tonight when I return to Tallahassee.

 

[AFLGuru]

Jet for the day

AA GENT -1/2 (-273) over BOHEMIANS DUBLIN W ($1,000)

KANSAS CITY -1/2 (-200) OVER CHIVAS USA W (+$1000)

SPARTAK MOSCOW -1/2 (-235) over SHINNIK L ($1,175)

CSKA MOSCOW -1/2 (-165) over FK ROSTOV W (+$300)

INTERNACIONAL +1/2 (-115) over SAO PAULO W ($300)

NY METROSTARS +1/2 (-130) over NEW ENGLAND L ($390)

AA GENT
SPARTAK MOSCOW
KANSAS CITY (parlay of three games above)

L (-$500)


Guru for the day
New England (ml) vs. NY/NJ W (+$157.14)
Chivas USA (+1) @ Kansas City L (-$221.24)

Jet (+$535) today (+$1366) overall
Guru (-$64.10) today (-$217.16) overall

 

[AFLGuru]

Heh... gave Jetster there $500 too many Monopoly dollars... crossed go too many times I guess...

Jet (+$35) today (+$866) overall
Guru (-$64.10) today (-$217.16) overall

 

[AFLGuru]

June 26...

BOTAFOGO/RJ -1/2 (-189) over FIGUEIRENSE ($1,890/$1,000) 5Dimes
HAMMARBY -1/2 (-233) over GEFLE ($2,330/$1,000) 5Dimes
TRELLEBORG -1/2 (-160) over FALKENBERG ($1,600/$1,000) 5Dimes
CHICAGO -1/2 (-210) over SALT LAKE ($2,100/$1,000) 5Dimes
LYN OSLO -1/2 (-165) over AAESUND ($660/$400) 5Dimes
CRUZEIRO/MG -1/2 (-185) over VASCO DE GAMA ($740/$400) 5Dimes
OLIMPO -1/2 (-182) over ALMAGRO ($728/$400) 5Dimes
START -1/2 (-142) over BODO/GLIMT ($568/$400) 5Dimes

Guru's picks... (note that Pinnacle doesn't offer a line on Olimpo vs. Almagro quite yet... check back later in the day... and also note that I've just added up the draw and win odds on the severe underdogs as offered by Pinnacle and advertised it as +0.5)

Figureierense (+0.5) $429.56/$570.44
Gefle (+1.25) $529.11/$470.89
Falkenberg (+0.5) $424.15/$575.85
Real Salt Lake (+1) $478.47/$521.53
Aaelsund (+1) $202.02/$197.98
Vasco (+0.5) $174.42/$225.58
Bodo/Glimt (+0.75) $217.39/$182.61

 

[AFLGuru]

Starting off the day well...

BOTAFOGO/RJ -1/2 (-189) over FIGUEIRENSE ($1,890/$1,000) 5Dimes
HAMMARBY -1/2 (-233) over GEFLE (-$2,330)
TRELLEBORG -1/2 (-160) over FALKENBERG (+$1,000)
CHICAGO -1/2 (-210) over SALT LAKE ($2,100/$1,000) 5Dimes
LYN OSLO -1/2 (-165) over AAESUND ($660/$400) 5Dimes
CRUZEIRO/MG -1/2 (-185) over VASCO DE GAMA ($740/$400) 5Dimes
OLIMPO -1/2 (-182) over ALMAGRO ($728/$400) 5Dimes
START -1/2 (-142) over BODO/GLIMT ($568/$400) 5Dimes

Figureierense (+0.5) $429.56/$570.44
Gefle (+1.25) ($470.89)
Falkenberg (+0.5) (-$424.15)
Real Salt Lake (+1) $478.47/$521.53
Aaelsund (+1) $202.02/$197.98
Vasco (+0.5) $174.42/$225.58
Bodo/Glimt (+0.75) $217.39/$182.61

Both Norwegian matches currently 0-0, and hopefully they'll both end that way... but I know I'm not likely so fortunate to land both matches like that.

 

[AFLGuru]

Start added two late goals, costing me profit on these games, but the other game hung tight at 0-0 for me.


BOTAFOGO/RJ -1/2 (-189) over FIGUEIRENSE ($1,890/$1,000) 5Dimes
HAMMARBY -1/2 (-233) over GEFLE (-$2,330)
TRELLEBORG -1/2 (-160) over FALKENBERG (+$1,000)
CHICAGO -1/2 (-210) over SALT LAKE ($2,100/$1,000) 5Dimes
LYN OSLO -1/2 (-165) over AAESUND (-$660)
CRUZEIRO/MG -1/2 (-185) over VASCO DE GAMA ($740/$400) 5Dimes
OLIMPO -1/2 (-182) over ALMAGRO ($728/$400) 5Dimes
START -1/2 (-142) over BODO/GLIMT (+$400)

Figureierense (+0.5) $429.56/$570.44
Gefle (+1.25) ($470.89)
Falkenberg (+0.5) (-$424.15)
Real Salt Lake (+1) $478.47/$521.53
Aaelsund (+1) (+$197.98)
Vasco (+0.5) $174.42/$225.58
Bodo/Glimt (+0.75) (-$217.39)

For today thus far...

Jet (-$1590)
Guru (+$27.33)

 

[MarkieMark+]

Nice WINS on GEFLE and FIGUREIERENSE, Guru. The FADE TRAIN is picking up STEAM!



MM

 

[AFLGuru]

MUCH better day today... Thanks for the come from behind from 0-2 and 1-3 draw... alright Jet, you can count this one in the 90th having gone against you...

BOTAFOGO/RJ -1/2 (-189) over FIGUEIRENSE (-$1,890)
HAMMARBY -1/2 (-233) over GEFLE (-$2,330)
TRELLEBORG -1/2 (-160) over FALKENBERG (+$1,000)
CHICAGO -1/2 (-210) over SALT LAKE ($2,100/$1,000) 5Dimes
LYN OSLO -1/2 (-165) over AAESUND (-$660)
CRUZEIRO/MG -1/2 (-185) over VASCO DE GAMA (-$728)
OLIMPO -1/2 (-182) over ALMAGRO(+$400)
START -1/2 (-142) over BODO/GLIMT (+$400)

Figureierense (+0.5) (+$570.44)
Gefle (+1.25) (+$470.89)
Falkenberg (+0.5) (-$424.15)
Real Salt Lake (+1) $478.47/$521.53
Aaelsund (+1) (+$197.98)
Vasco (+0.5) (+$225.58)
Bodo/Glimt (+0.75) (-$217.39)

So with a big game left to be played, here are the results so far... Sounds like a Jet has coming crashing down to earth today.... *Cough Cough Cough* Sorry... all I hear in the backround is someone choking... likely on all of the chalk in the air...

Jet (-$3808)
Guru (+$823.35)

 

[MarkieMark+]

Took a ride on the FADE TRAIN myself with VASCO DE GAMA. Nice one Guru!

:toast:

MM

 

[AFLGuru]

There ya go... should have been real close to a winning day for you then as well my man.

 

[MarkieMark+]

VASCO DE GAMA gave me a ++WINNING++ day but the pick was not posted in my thread, so "OFFICIALLY" it was a losing day.

LONG LIVE THE FADE!

:drink:

 

[AFLGuru]

BOTAFOGO/RJ -1/2 (-189) over FIGUEIRENSE (-$1,890)
HAMMARBY -1/2 (-233) over GEFLE (-$2,330)
TRELLEBORG -1/2 (-160) over FALKENBERG (+$1,000)
CHICAGO -1/2 (-210) over SALT LAKE (+$1,000)
LYN OSLO -1/2 (-165) over AAESUND (-$660)
CRUZEIRO/MG -1/2 (-185) over VASCO DE GAMA (-$728)
OLIMPO -1/2 (-182) over ALMAGRO(+$400)
START -1/2 (-142) over BODO/GLIMT (+$400)

Figureierense (+0.5) (+$570.44)
Gefle (+1.25) (+$470.89)
Falkenberg (+0.5) (-$424.15)
Real Salt Lake (+1) (-$478.47)
Aaelsund (+1) (+$197.98)
Vasco (+0.5) (+$225.58)
Bodo/Glimt (+0.75) (-$217.39)

Jet (-$2808)
Guru (+$344.88)

Overall...

Jet (-$1942)
Guru ($127.72)

 

[MarkieMark+]

A turn around of 31.52 UNITS in one day! Amazing what a total lack of Money Management can do.

 

[HinesWard86]

Guru, Jet actually lost a little more today than you have him down for. Jet lost $2820 today, you got the Olimpo and Cruziero bets mixed up. But maybe you should just let him keep the $12 I think he might need it for some new air filters to get the chalk out of the air.

Amazing how someone can lose 28.2 units in one day.

 

[AFLGuru]

Haha... yeah, I'll let him keep the $12...

 

[AFLGuru]

Here are Jets plays that I missed out on the past few days (start of summer school means I'm not home in the mornings... so this system is going to be flawed, but probably still successful.

AIK STOCKHOLM was a LOSER 1-1 (-16.50 ) UNITS
GAIS was a WINNER 2-1! (+13.50 ) UNITS
HELSINGBORG -1/2 (-170) over SUNDSVALL ($300)

So basically we've missed absolutely nothing... the standings are EXACTLY the same...

So the plays for Wednesday...

BRANN BERGEN -1/2 (-250) over AALESUND ($5,000/$2,000)

STABAEK +1/2 (-180) over FREDERICKSTAD ($720/$400)

KAMAZ -1/2 (-305) over ORYOL ($1,220/$400)

IFK GOTEBORG / HALMSTAD "DRAW" +250 ($300/$750)

BRANN BERGEN -1/2 -250
KAMAZ -1/2 -305
STABAEK +1/2 -170

RISK: $600.00 WIN: $1,175.00


Which means the plays for me are as follows...

Aaelsund (+0.5) $751.32/$1248.68
Fredrickstad (-0.5) $161.29/$238.71
IFK or Halmstad victory $226.34/$73.66

 

[MarkieMark+]

Domestic cup matches are always a toss up because alot of top teams don't take them seriously,as may be the case in the Norwegian Cup, today. Your pick on Aaelsund could be a good one since I have read on a couple of different European forums that Brann Bergen will be resting their top goal scorer, Brengt Saeternes, and their most influential mid-fielder, Martin Andresen.

 

[THEJET]

...

 

[HinesWard86]

How dumb are you dude? At Florida State University, you HAVE to take at least one summer semester there to graduate. I thought you had gotten at least a little more mature Riggs, good Lord. BTW, how'd that -28.2 unit day a couple days back feel. Oh one more thing, I have noticed that you've bet at least 2 Scandinavian games once they've already started and made it seem like you played it before the game started. You're a joke dude.

 

[AFLGuru]

Jet... Since we obviously are too dumb to actually go with "I stay in my thread, you stay in your's" I wouldn't be talking about who should and shouldn't be in college.

Yes Jet, nicely done the past few days getting your total back up where it belongs for a decent capper. Too bad that we should just divide all of your plays by like 5 to make a more reasonable unit that everyone can follow, as the first time that you lose 100 units I will be sure to denote that from that point that none of your picks matter, as a betting account only has 100 units in it.

In case you haven't noticed, I've been spending my time capping CFL to make money, since I gamble with more money on that than I do fading you... And no, I haven't bet against your plays when I haven't posted, nor will I play your plays for tomorrow unless they are posted before I leave for school, or happen to go off after 2:00, which is around the time I will return home from campus.

Also... speaking of money management... I believe that you are just running into a buzz saw with how much action you take in. No one should have plays EVERY FREAKIN' DAY in soccer. No one. I can't wait until the weekend when I can fade away, and catch up with record keeping... when you play WAY too many games for your own good.

Dude, do you realize that you won 38 units in a day and then pissed what, 18 of them away later that night? Wagering $1800 on a game is absurd in itself since your account in theory has $10000 in it... but of course we know the Monopoly bank will have as much money in it as Parker Brothers allows... well exceeding the $10000 that you profess on here.

Perhaps you should fade my CFL picks, as that is what I have suggested for people to do all along... knowing who to bet and who to fade is probably more valuable than capping the games yourself. But at least I'm admitting to running a project here with the CFL. You're trying to convince people that you actually know what you're talking about.

--AFLGuru:toast: